Language:English
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)
Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.955%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.01%21.17%21.05%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.534.504.9026.67%22.08%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 78.83%1.27fair odd
EV -0.672%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%78.83%78.95%80.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.191.191.2690.09%83.95%83.68%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local): 21.17%; Olympiacos (Visit): 78.83%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +3.73%E +0.760%K +0.955%G +0.036% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.34%E -8.13%K -62.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +2.67%E +0.550%K +0.693%G +0.018% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 17:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.551%E +0.116%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.61%E -3.81%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.62%E -0.571%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.61%E -3.81%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.62%E -0.571%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.62%E -0.571%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.98%E -5.91%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.68%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.68%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.83%E -3.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.83%E -3.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.61%E -3.81%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -12.50%E -11.26%K -113.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -4.95%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV -3.04%E -2.47%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -5.80%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.83%E -3.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.58%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.42%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.40%E -4.50%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.19%E -5.20%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -10.03%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.25%E -1.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 12:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.25%E -1.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.19%E -5.20%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.98%E -5.91%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.98%E -5.91%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -13.42%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -0.672%E -0.534%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.83%E -3.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.62%E -5.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -3.83%E -3.14%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 1.9% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.46% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75% | 10.8% | 2026-10-01 17:59 |