La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v FC Bayern München
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Casa)
Previsione 54.95%1.82quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.24%54.99%54.92%55.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.721.711.7659.88%58.23%58.48%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
FC Bayern München (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.05%2.22quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.817%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.07%45.01%45.08%46.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.102.102.1850.76%47.54%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 09:49 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| ReBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 00:35 |
| BetUS | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.94%E -2.86%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -11.24%E -5.71%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.78%E -0.817%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.78%E -0.817%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 22:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 14:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 02:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.93%E -2.34%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.58%E -1.67%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.89%E -4.95%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 11:29 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.89%E -4.95%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.89%E -4.95%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 08:00 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.59%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.89%E -4.95%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 08:00 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.14%E -4.23%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.09%E -3.96%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.69%E -4.58%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.69%E -4.58%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.64%E -3.73%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.24%E -4.94%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.24%E -4.94%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14% | 11.7% | 2026-04-07 08:00 |