Language:English
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)
Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV +0.957%
Edge +0.381%
Kelly +0.634%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.18%40.12%40.15%42.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.5144.44%42.35%42.55%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)
Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -0.768%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.87%59.88%59.85%61.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6666.67%63.59%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local): 40.22%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 59.78%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.957%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV +0.957%E +0.381%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -0.652%E -0.264%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-25 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-25 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 16:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 18:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -8.29%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -0.768%E -0.463%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 16:50 |