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Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 52.01%1.92fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.10%52.00%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8557.80%55.02%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 47.99%2.08fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.90%48.00%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.982.0552.63%50.67%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 52.01%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 47.99%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.50%E -2.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.78%E -2.05%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.30%E -2.34%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.06%E -1.51%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 03:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.54%E -1.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 03:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.98%E -2.51%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.98%E -2.51%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 03:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.98%E -2.51%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.98%E -2.51%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.98%E -2.51%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.46%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.94%E -3.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.62%E -0.789%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.90%E -3.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.90%E -3.86%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.38%E -3.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.38%E -3.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.86%E -4.09%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.02%E -2.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81% | 70.9% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81% | 70.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81% | 70.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |