The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Valencia Basket v Fenerbahce SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:31 UTC

Final: Valencia Basket 86–78 Fenerbahce SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valencia Basket (Local)

Prediction 48.38%2.07fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.761%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%48.41%48.37%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.971.982.1056.50%50.63%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce SK (Visit)

Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +3.24%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%51.59%51.63%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.801.802.0061.73%55.53%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 48.38%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 51.62%. For Fenerbahce SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.37%E -8.12%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.24%E +1.62%K +3.24%G +0.105%6.5%2026-10-27 19:20
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 18:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.47%E -1.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 18:17
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.47%E -1.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 17:44
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -3.99%E -2.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.21%E -2.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 19:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.50%E -2.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.72%E -1.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.02%E -2.73%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.72%E -1.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.02%E -2.73%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -1.31%E -0.640%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.54%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.54%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.54%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.54%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 08:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.54%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 07:59
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.05%E -3.32%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.05%E -3.32%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.05%E -3.32%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 17:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.821%E -0.401%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 19:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 17:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 17:45
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 17:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.08%E -3.94%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 08:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.60%E -4.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 17:50
picklebet_au🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.60%E -4.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 18:37
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.60%E -4.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.12%E -4.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.24%E -1.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.70%E -6.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +1.60%E +0.761%K +1.45%G +0.023%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -11.21%E -6.52%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV +0.630%E +0.303%K +0.583%G +0.004%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -11.73%E -6.86%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV +0.630%E +0.303%K +0.583%G +0.004%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -11.73%E -6.86%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.56%EV -13.40%E -7.49%K -16.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.44%EV -12.76%E -7.55%K -18.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-27 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -5.18%E -2.64%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -16.38%E -10.11%K -26.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-27 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-10-27 19:20
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-10-27 19:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-10-27 08:00