Language:English
Valencia Basket v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 68.96%1.45fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.89%68.85%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4375.19%72.66%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)
Prediction 31.04%3.22fair odd
EV -0.657%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.299%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.11%31.15%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.053.2036.36%32.97%32.73%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 68.96%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 31.04%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.657%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.39%E -0.975%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -9.97%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.63%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.63%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.63%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.21%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.00%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.967%E -0.303%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.69%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.97%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.97%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.21%E -0.701%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.28%EV -6.56%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.657%E -0.205%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.76%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -9.35%E -3.20%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -2.52%E -0.802%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.97%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 15:15 |