Language:English
Saski Baskonia v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.997%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%48.98%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.942.0854.05%51.80%51.68%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)
Prediction 50.93%1.96fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.02%51.05%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.831.9258.48%54.24%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 49.07%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 50.93%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +2.07%E +0.997%K +1.92%G +0.040% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -9.35%E -5.25%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.82%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 18:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.24%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.82%E -4.32%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.24%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 12:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.40%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97%EV -12.92%E -7.55%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |