Language:English
Saski Baskonia v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 20.66%4.84fair odd
EV +8.45%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%20.58%20.77%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.534.505.2524.39%22.09%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 79.34%1.26fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -10.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%79.42%79.23%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.191.2385.47%83.67%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 20.66%; Olympiacos (Visit): 79.34%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.45%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +8.45%E +1.61%K +1.99%G +0.168% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV +5.14%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.065% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV +5.14%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.065% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +1.22%E +0.249%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +1.22%E +0.249%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.848%E -0.177%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.848%E -0.177%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.848%E -0.177%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.848%E -0.177%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.91%E -0.620%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.91%E -0.620%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.91%E -0.620%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -3.53%E -0.757%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.83%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.98%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.37%E -5.40%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.04%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -7.25%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV -2.41%E -1.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-24 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.17%E -6.13%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.20%E -2.62%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.99%E -3.30%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.58%E -4.69%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.79%E -3.99%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36% | 9.3% | 2026-09-24 13:45 |