Language:English
Saski Baskonia v KK Crvena zvezda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 38.24%2.61fair odd
EV -0.567%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%38.43%38.27%40.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.482.6044.44%40.49%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KK Crvena zvezda (Visit)
Prediction 61.76%1.62fair odd
EV -0.572%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.21%61.57%61.73%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.6167.11%65.17%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 38.24%; KK Crvena zvezda (Visit): 61.76%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.567%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.567%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 18:17 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.71%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-25 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.71%E -0.667%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-25 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.10%E -0.819%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.48%E -0.972%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.48%E -0.972%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.48%E -0.972%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.48%E -0.972%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.98%E -5.36%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.86%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.16%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.04%E -1.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.16%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.16%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.81%E -1.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 10:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.42%E -1.53%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 16:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.22%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.60%E -3.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 19:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.60%E -3.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.572%E -0.355%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 06:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -12.04%E -5.23%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-25 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.95%E -6.20%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 06:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.95%E -6.20%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.95%E -6.20%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.8% | 2026-03-25 19:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 19:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 06:54 |