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Saski Baskonia v Hapoel Tel Aviv

2026-11-17 19:30 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saski Baskonia (Local)

Prediction 29.59%3.38fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.42%29.77%29.67%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.153.203.5236.36%31.76%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)

Prediction 70.41%1.42fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -11.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%70.23%70.33%72.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.331.3679.37%75.52%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saski Baskonia (Local): 29.59%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 70.41%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.52, producing a positive expected value of +4.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV +4.15%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.068%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-12 20:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-12 20:05
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-12 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-12 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-12 20:05
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 20:05
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.76%E -5.92%K -25.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.94%E -3.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 20:05
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.06%E -5.34%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 20:05
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.46%E -6.51%K -28.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-12 20:10
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.94%E -3.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-12 20:05
ReBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.65%E -4.21%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-12 20:05
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-12 20:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -17.16%E -6.13%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.24%E -3.12%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.76%EV -18.64%E -6.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.24%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-12 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -18.64%E -6.78%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.58%EV -11.28%E -8.95%K -43.38%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-12 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-13 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-13 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-13 01:05

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