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Real Madrid v Panathinaikos

2026-11-04 19:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid (Local)

Prediction 51.00%1.96fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%51.24%51.07%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.831.8859.52%55.13%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.76%48.93%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.921.912.0057.47%52.13%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Madrid (Local): 51.00%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 49.00%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 20:10
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -4.63%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 20:24
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.16%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.16%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -7.88%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 20:05
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.90%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 20:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 20:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.00%E -0.998%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.41%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.79%E -7.48%K -18.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.28%EV -13.76%E -7.82%K -18.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-30 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.88%EV -14.32%E -8.53%K -21.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.12%EV -14.74%E -8.47%K -19.92%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-30 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.