The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Real Madrid v KK Partizan NIS

2026-10-08 18:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid (Local)

Prediction 78.18%1.28fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -16.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.99%78.10%78.18%80.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.06%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KK Partizan NIS (Visit)

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV +7.13%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.130%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%21.90%21.82%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.184.174.9130.30%23.92%23.95%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Madrid (Local): 78.18%; KK Partizan NIS (Visit): 21.82%. For KK Partizan NIS (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.91, producing a positive expected value of +7.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.36%EV -6.18%E -5.15%K -30.91%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV +7.13%E +1.45%K +1.82%G +0.130%3.7%2026-09-30 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.40%E -4.46%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.82%E -0.404%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 22:14
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.40%E -4.46%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.82%E -0.404%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.84%E -3.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.27%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 21:34
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.18%E -5.15%K -30.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.27%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 21:35
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.40%E -4.46%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 21:35
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.46%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.46%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.18%E -5.15%K -30.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-30 21:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%EV -9.31%E -8.02%K -58.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -28.00%E -8.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-30 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-30 23:35