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Real Madrid v KK Crvena zvezda

2026-11-12 20:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid (Local)

Prediction 70.92%1.41fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.81%70.88%71.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.321.331.3980.65%75.47%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KK Crvena zvezda (Visit)

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%29.19%29.12%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.173.213.3537.04%31.56%31.15%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Madrid (Local): 70.92%; KK Crvena zvezda (Visit): 29.08%. For Real Madrid (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.39, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -7.83%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -2.13%E -1.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -9.28%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.25%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.96%E -3.70%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 11:34
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.96%E -3.70%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 11:35
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.96%E -3.70%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.773%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 11:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 11:39
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 11:34
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -6.37%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 11:34
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -8.12%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.38%E -4.83%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.09%E -5.41%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 11:35
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-07 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.18%EV -10.64%E -8.44%K -40.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-08 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 68.53%EV -12.06%E -9.72%K -50.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-08 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 76.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 23.86%25.1%2026-11-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 76.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 23.86%25.1%2026-11-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 55.32%1.30I 76.92%NM 44.68%72.2%2026-11-08 14:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.04%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94%12.2%2026-11-08 12:10

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