La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Hapoel Tel Aviv

Inizio: 2026-04-29 18:45 UTC

Finale: Real Madrid 86–82 Hapoel Tel Aviv

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 72.65%1.38quota equa
EV +0.977%
Vantaggio +0.703%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.33%72.30%72.92%73.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.301.301.3981.97%76.71%76.92%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.35%3.66quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.423%
Kelly -0.586%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%27.70%27.08%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.413.503.6035.09%29.29%28.57%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.977%E +0.703%K +2.50%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 20:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV +0.250%E +0.181%K +0.659%G +0.002%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -14.65%E -4.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 20:10
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.20%E -0.884%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -11.10%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 20:10
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -1.93%E -1.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -14.65%E -4.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:14
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.38%E -2.54%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:04
William Hill1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.83%E -3.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.89%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:44
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 17:59
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 17:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:39
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:40
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 20:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.56%E -4.28%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 20:10
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.29%E -4.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.52%E -0.423%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.29%E -4.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:00
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.29%E -4.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 06:19
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.29%E -4.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.10%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:03
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:59
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 20:10
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:04
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.02%EV -11.37%E -9.32%K -51.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -22.04%E -7.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-22 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 55.32%1.30I 76.92%NM 44.68%72.2%2026-04-23 11:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 55.32%1.30I 76.92%NM 44.68%72.2%2026-04-23 11:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 55.32%1.30I 76.92%NM 44.68%72.2%2026-04-23 11:35