La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 71.96%1.39quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -8.16%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.35%72.01%71.90%73.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.321.321.3578.13%75.87%75.76%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.04%3.57quota equa
EV +0.947%
Vantaggio +0.263%
Kelly +0.364%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%27.99%28.10%30.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.013.353.383.6033.22%29.83%29.63%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.947%E +0.263%K +0.364%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -2.70%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -3.54%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.54%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -4.10%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 05:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.86%E -2.11%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -6.34%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.86%E -2.11%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -6.34%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -7.19%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.86%E -2.11%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 08:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.65%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.35%EV -8.59%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.65%EV -15.60%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |