Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid v Fenerbahce SK

2026-10-29 19:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid (Local)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.31%58.71%58.75%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.601.611.6467.11%62.63%62.11%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce SK (Visit)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%41.29%41.25%42.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.272.302.3550.00%44.12%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Madrid (Local): 58.74%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 41.26%. For Fenerbahce SK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -3.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 20:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 20:04
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 20:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 20:04
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.31%EV -12.47%E -8.37%K -25.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -17.49%E -8.74%K -17.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-24 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%97.0%2026-10-24 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%97.0%2026-10-24 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-24 23:45