Language:English
Paris Basketball v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Paris Basketball (Local)
Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.58%36.56%36.41%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.552.552.8043.86%39.25%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 63.60%1.57fair odd
EV -0.786%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.90%63.44%63.59%65.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.65%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris Basketball (Local): 36.40%; Žalgiris (Visit): 63.60%. For Paris Basketball (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.92%E +0.687%K +1.07%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.92%E +0.687%K +1.07%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -2.81%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -7.15%E -4.89%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.17%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -5.72%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.81%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.42%E -0.917%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.15%E -4.89%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.15%E -4.89%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.89%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -8.27%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.69%E -1.76%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.69%E -1.76%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.69%E -1.76%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.33%E -2.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.786%E -0.504%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -1.42%E -0.917%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 1.9% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47% | 2.7% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |