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Paris Basketball v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

2026-10-14 18:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Basketball (Local)

Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -9.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.69%65.95%65.96%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4574.63%70.57%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)

Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.05%34.04%36.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.722.772.8842.55%36.70%36.10%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paris Basketball (Local): 65.96%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 34.04%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.88, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -1.96%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.02%E -3.48%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.69%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -4.01%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 08:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 08:05
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.20%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.80%EV -9.45%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.03%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 08:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 63.69%EV -11.61%E -8.67%K -34.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.31%EV -20.01%E -8.51%K -14.82%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-05 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:50