The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Paris Basketball v Valencia Basket

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:46 UTC

Final: Paris Basketball 93–104 Valencia Basket

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Basketball (Local)

Prediction 35.67%2.80fair odd
EV -0.135%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.57%35.76%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.602.8042.55%38.07%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Valencia Basket (Visit)

Prediction 64.33%1.55fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -7.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.34%64.43%64.24%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.471.481.5071.94%68.07%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris Basketball (Local): 35.67%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 64.33%. For Paris Basketball (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.804. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.800, with an expected value of -0.135%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.07%E -4.16%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 08:57
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.56%E -0.566%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 10:00
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.43%E -3.69%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 02:02
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 13:25
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 13:24
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.92%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 05:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -2.27%E -0.830%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 14:26
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -2.27%E -0.830%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 14:25
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.63%E -0.964%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -3.34%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.70%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.70%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.70%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.43%E -3.69%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 08:54
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.70%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.72%E -4.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 15:55
ReBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.77%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.48%E -2.07%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:25
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.48%E -2.07%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 13:25
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.48%E -2.07%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 09:20
GTbets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.84%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 05:34
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.55%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.55%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 08:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 08:57
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.50%E -2.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.14%E -2.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 18:46
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.43%E -3.69%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.72%E -4.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:50
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -7.62%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.98%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -6.72%E -4.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 09:19
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 05:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.72%E -4.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 08:14
picklebet_au🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 08:14
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.36%E -5.11%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 09:20
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -4.79%E -3.23%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -13.33%E -5.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.45%EV -9.93%E -7.09%K -24.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.17%EV -16.18%E -6.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.83%EV -10.58%E -7.61%K -27.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-23 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-10-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-10-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-10-23 15:50
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-10-23 15:50
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%3.8%2026-10-23 15:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-10-23 09:19