La scuola delle quote

Paris Basketball v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Inizio: 2026-04-02 18:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Paris Basketball (Casa)

Previsione 52.30%1.91quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.40%52.31%52.06%53.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.821.821.8757.80%55.09%54.95%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.70%2.10quota equa
EV -0.312%
Vantaggio -0.149%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.69%47.94%49.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.971.962.0954.05%50.76%50.89%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:44
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 18:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:45
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:45
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:44
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:44
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:44
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:45
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.33%E -5.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:45
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 18:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:45
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 18:45
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 18:44
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 18:44
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 18:44
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 18:45
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 18:35
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 18:44
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 18:44
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 18:41
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 18:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 18:44
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:44
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:45
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -0.312%E -0.149%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 18:44
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 18:45
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 18:45
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 18:45
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 18:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 18:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-02 18:45
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-04-02 18:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%4.4%2026-04-02 18:44

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%11.3%2026-04-02 18:45