L’École des cotesFrançais
Paris Basketball v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Paris Basketball (Local)
Prévision 52.30%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.40%52.31%52.06%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.821.8757.80%55.09%54.95%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.70%2.10cote équitable
EV -0.312%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.69%47.94%49.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.971.962.0954.05%50.76%50.89%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.33%E -5.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.76%E -6.36%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -0.312%E -0.149%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.94%E -4.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 18:44 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |