La scuola delle quote

Paris Basketball v KK Partizan NIS

Inizio: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Paris Basketball (Casa)

Previsione 64.98%1.54quota equa
EV -0.585%
Vantaggio -0.382%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.86%64.94%64.87%66.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.471.5371.43%68.28%68.03%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KK Partizan NIS (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.02%2.86quota equa
EV +0.865%
Vantaggio +0.300%
Kelly +0.460%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.49%35.06%35.13%38.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.682.702.8841.67%37.35%37.04%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +0.865%E +0.300%K +0.460%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV +0.165%E +0.058%K +0.089%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 18:20
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:03
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:04
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:05
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -2.64%E -0.949%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:44
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:44
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:10
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:24
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.18%E -2.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:29
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:53
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:09
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:24
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:34
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 18:35
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 19:09
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:15
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -8.59%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.73%E -5.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 19:04
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -0.585%E -0.382%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -11.04%E -4.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 15:49
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -12.09%E -4.82%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:34
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%3.7%2026-03-19 19:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%12.2%2026-03-19 19:30