L’École des cotes

Paris Basketball v KK Partizan NIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Paris Basketball (Local)

Prévision 64.98%1.54cote équitable
EV -0.585%
Avantage -0.382%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.86%64.94%64.87%66.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5371.43%68.28%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KK Partizan NIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.02%2.86cote équitable
EV +0.865%
Avantage +0.300%
Kelly +0.460%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.49%35.06%35.13%38.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.702.8841.67%37.35%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV +0.865%E +0.300%K +0.460%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV +0.165%E +0.058%K +0.089%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 18:20
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:03
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:04
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:05
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -2.64%E -0.949%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:44
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:44
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:10
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:24
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.18%E -2.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:29
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:04
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:53
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:09
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:24
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:34
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 18:35
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 19:09
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:15
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -8.59%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.73%E -5.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 19:04
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -0.585%E -0.382%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -11.04%E -4.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 15:49
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -12.09%E -4.82%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:34
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%3.7%2026-03-19 19:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%12.2%2026-03-19 19:30