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Paris Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

2026-10-07 18:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Basketball (Local)

Prediction 68.00%1.47fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -12.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.62%67.89%68.00%69.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4076.34%72.62%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit)

Prediction 32.00%3.12fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.050%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%32.11%32.00%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.902.923.1240.00%34.54%34.31%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paris Basketball (Local): 68.00%; ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit): 32.00%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.125. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.120, with an expected value of -0.157%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -0.157%E -0.050%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 18:35
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.76%E -3.46%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -4.64%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.84%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 65.62%EV -10.92%E -8.34%K -35.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -20.00%E -8.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-29 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-29 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-29 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-29 23:25