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Panathinaikos v Saski Baskonia

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 18:16 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos 85–79 Saski Baskonia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 89.59%1.12fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -26.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.73%89.61%89.55%91.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.73%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saski Baskonia (Visit)

Prediction 10.41%9.61fair odd
EV +22.79%
Edge +1.93%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.481%

assuming max odds 11.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.17%10.39%10.45%16.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.308.939.0011.8018.87%11.20%11.11%8.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 89.59%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 10.41%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.61. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.79%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.83%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.17%EV +22.79%E +1.93%K +2.11%G +0.481%3.7%2026-10-22 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +9.27%E +0.882%K +0.975%G +0.090%3.9%2026-10-22 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +4.06%E +0.406%K +0.451%G +0.018%5.2%2026-10-22 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +4.06%E +0.406%K +0.451%G +0.018%5.2%2026-10-22 17:59
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +4.06%E +0.406%K +0.451%G +0.018%5.2%2026-10-22 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +4.06%E +0.406%K +0.451%G +0.018%6.2%2026-10-22 17:55
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -0.099%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:00
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 18:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 17:55
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 17:55
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.14%E -0.120%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -3.74%E -0.405%K -0.454%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -4.26%E -0.463%K -0.520%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:15
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 04:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 10:55
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.34%E -0.705%K -0.793%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.93%EV -2.34%E -2.15%K -26.03%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 11.07%EV -8.84%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 18:10
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -8.94%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.55%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:10
picklebet_au🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.55%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -15.71%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.93%E -5.64%K -118.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.75%E -2.09%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.82%E -6.56%K -170.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -16.75%E -2.09%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.95%E -2.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 18:15
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.95%E -2.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.13%E -3.86%K -59.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -24.55%E -3.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 18:10
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.24%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.76%EV -24.55%E -3.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.24%EV -5.03%E -4.75%K -83.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.76%EV -24.55%E -3.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 83.73%EV -7.72%E -7.49%K -257.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.27%EV -44.85%E -8.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-22 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-10-22 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-10-22 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-10-22 18:15
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-10-22 18:15
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%4.3%2026-10-22 18:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.61%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%9.4%2026-10-22 18:15