The School of Odds
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Panathinaikos v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:16 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos 80–75 Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 84.46%1.18fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -12.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.47%84.50%84.39%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.111.111.1695.24%89.81%90.09%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)

Prediction 15.54%6.44fair odd
EV +8.76%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.50%15.61%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.456.116.257.0022.47%16.36%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 84.46%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 15.54%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.44. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.76%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.76%E +1.25%K +1.46%G +0.128%5.2%2026-10-27 16:20
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.76%E +1.25%K +1.46%G +0.128%5.2%2026-10-27 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.56%E -4.03%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%3.9%2026-10-27 16:20
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%5.5%2026-10-27 14:40
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%5.5%2026-10-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%5.5%2026-10-27 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%5.5%2026-10-27 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%6.3%2026-10-27 18:17
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.94%E -7.28%K -88.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +0.991%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%7.1%2026-10-27 18:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:00
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.563%E -0.088%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:00
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -2.12%E -0.336%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.56%E -4.03%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.22%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -5.22%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 14:40
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 14:02
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 14:02
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 14:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.71%E -3.26%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -7.55%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 19:10
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.16%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.84%EV -7.55%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 18:18
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.78%EV -2.87%E -2.49%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -7.71%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.38%EV -2.02%E -1.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.57%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-27 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 84.67%EV -11.31%E -10.78%K -226.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -9.89%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 14:02
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.71%E -3.26%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 18:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.40%E -4.82%K -45.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -2.87%E -2.49%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -11.44%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.09%E -6.45%K -70.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.56%E -4.03%K -35.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.55%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.55%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 18:18
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.25%E -5.63%K -56.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.55%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 18:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 80.47%EV -8.78%E -8.13%K -109.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.53%EV -30.86%E -6.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-27 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-27 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-27 18:50
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-10-27 19:10
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-10-27 19:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.28%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%11.2%2026-10-27 18:18

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