Language:English
Panathinaikos v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 81.20%1.23fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.11%81.15%81.17%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.171.2190.09%85.94%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.138%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.85%18.83%21.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.214.985.005.7523.75%20.08%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 81.20%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 18.80%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.11%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +8.11%E +1.41%K +1.71%G +0.138% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV +3.79%E +0.686%K +0.837%G +0.032% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.41%E +0.620%K +0.758%G +0.026% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.25%E -7.30%K -63.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.41%E +0.620%K +0.758%G +0.026% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.25%E -7.30%K -63.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.41%E +0.620%K +0.758%G +0.026% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.351%E -0.066%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 11:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.29%E -0.246%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 22:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.29%E -0.246%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.29%E -0.246%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.62%E -5.76%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.29%E -0.246%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.06%E -8.09%K -75.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -1.29%E -0.246%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 15:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.23%E -0.429%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.62%E -5.76%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.23%E -0.429%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.20%EV -3.37%E -2.84%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.80%EV -3.36%E -0.654%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -4.11%E -0.806%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 06:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.15%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.85%EV -4.49%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.15%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.85%EV -4.49%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.25%E -7.30%K -63.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.99%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.81%E -5.01%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.87%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.84%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.16%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.75%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.75%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.75%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.62%E -5.76%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.63%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.62%E -5.76%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -11.63%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.75%E -1.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -13.51%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.37%E -2.84%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.51%E -2.94%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.39%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.00%E -4.27%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.39%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -9.87%E -8.89%K -89.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.39%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -3.37%E -2.84%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -18.21%E -4.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.11%EV -4.19%E -3.55%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.89%EV -20.85%E -4.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.30% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |