Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos v Maccabi Tel Aviv

2026-10-02 18:15 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 83.14%1.20fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.82%
Kelly -29.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.22%82.97%83.14%85.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.141.1590.91%88.26%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)

Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV +10.26%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.190%

assuming max odds 6.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.73%17.03%16.86%21.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.955.395.456.5425.32%18.56%18.35%15.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Panathinaikos (Local): 83.14%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 16.86%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.54, producing a positive expected value of +10.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.27%EV -6.05%E -5.36%K -46.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.73%EV +10.26%E +1.57%K +1.85%G +0.190%3.8%2026-09-25 18:33
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.21%E -0.382%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.21%E -0.382%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.39%E -3.82%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.88%E -6.15%K -57.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.27%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.05%E -5.36%K -46.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 16:14
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.01%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.22%E -4.58%K -37.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.01%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 78.22%EV -8.55%E -7.77%K -85.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%EV -33.40%E -8.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-25 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.