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Panathinaikos v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 77.45%1.29fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -9.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.51%77.42%79.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.221.221.2686.96%82.14%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 22.55%4.43fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +0.974%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 4.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%22.49%22.58%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.204.5926.67%23.99%23.81%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 77.45%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 22.55%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV +3.50%E +0.762%K +0.974%G +0.034% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +2.59%E +0.570%K +0.731%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +2.59%E +0.570%K +0.731%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.326%K +0.419%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 15:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.28%E -5.19%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.47%E +0.326%K +0.419%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.788%E -0.179%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.788%E -0.179%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-16 18:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.37%E -0.546%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -8.61%E -7.29%K -47.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -2.37%E -0.546%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.04%E -0.708%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.04%E -0.708%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.17%E -0.981%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 03:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 03:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 13:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.28%E -5.19%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.28%E -5.19%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -6.20%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -2.41%E -1.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.28%E -5.19%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.28%E -5.19%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -9.36%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -10.26%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-16 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-16 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.23%EV -10.93%E -9.50%K -72.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-15 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -13.19%E -3.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.79%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.21%EV -13.87%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96% | 5.9% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 11:50 |