Language:English
Panathinaikos v AS Monaco
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 75.44%1.33fair odd
EV -0.418%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.33%75.25%75.34%77.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3283.33%79.55%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AS Monaco (Visit)
Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV +5.61%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%24.75%24.66%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.213.833.834.3031.15%26.10%26.14%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 75.44%; AS Monaco (Visit): 24.56%. For AS Monaco (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.61%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +5.61%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.095% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +5.61%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.095% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.21%E -5.86%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.47%E -7.89%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.693%E +0.169%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.693%E +0.169%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.693%E +0.169%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.693%E +0.169%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.693%E +0.169%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.45%E -5.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.45%E -5.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.47%E -7.89%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.21%E -5.86%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.45%E -5.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.44%E -2.68%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.46%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.44%E -2.68%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.46%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.21%E -5.86%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.45%E -5.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.45%E -5.20%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36%EV -1.93%E -1.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -7.41%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.21%E -5.86%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -3.44%E -2.68%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -9.38%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.93%E -1.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.93%E -1.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.93%E -1.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.93%E -1.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.44%E -2.68%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.81%E -3.61%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.44%E -2.68%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -0.418%E -0.317%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -18.71%E -5.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.33%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.67%EV -21.16%E -6.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 45.09% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 54.91% | 80.3% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |