Language:English
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)
Prediction 71.34%1.40fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -8.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%71.44%71.35%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3676.92%75.70%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)
Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.487%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.56%28.65%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.323.5533.33%30.09%30.12%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 71.34%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 28.66%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.73%E +0.487%K +0.678%G +0.012% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV +1.16%E +0.328%K +0.457%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.14%E -0.329%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.14%E -0.329%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 17:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.14%E -0.329%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.14%E -0.329%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.40%E -3.28%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 07:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.57%E -0.756%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.40%E -3.28%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 05:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 05:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.28%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 00:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.40%E -3.28%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -6.01%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 07:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.87%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-25 00:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.98%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.02%EV -8.87%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 17:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%EV -11.74%E -3.81%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 19:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 07:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 07:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.90% | 11.5% | 2026-03-25 07:39 |