Language:English
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)
Prediction 70.13%1.43fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.05%70.17%70.33%71.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.3976.92%74.54%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)
Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV +0.371%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.157%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.83%29.67%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.183.203.3633.44%31.47%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 70.13%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 29.87%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.371%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV +0.371%E +0.110%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.13%E -6.21%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.42%E -0.431%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.93%E -2.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.91%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.91%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-28 06:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.91%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.91%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.83%E -6.80%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.91%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.21%E -0.992%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.21%E -0.992%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.21%E -0.992%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -7.43%E -5.63%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.83%E -6.80%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.83%E -6.80%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.83%E -6.80%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.83%E -6.80%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -10.68%E -3.57%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 44.30% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 55.70% | 71.0% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.31% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 44.69% | 79.0% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99% | 11.3% | 2026-09-29 18:10 |