Language:English
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)
Prediction 39.60%2.53fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.46%39.66%41.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.372.372.5045.87%42.15%42.28%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 60.40%1.66fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.20%60.54%60.34%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6166.67%63.71%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 39.60%; Real Madrid (Visit): 60.40%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.999%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.78%E -3.70%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.38%E -4.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.999%E -0.400%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.40%E -6.27%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 18:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -1.40%E -0.560%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.78%E -3.70%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.56%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.38%E -4.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.56%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.38%E -4.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.78%E -3.70%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.38%E -4.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.76%E -1.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.36%E -2.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.78%E -3.70%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.98%E -4.54%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-13 17:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.13%E -3.50%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.98%E -4.54%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-13 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.36%E -2.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.36%E -2.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -6.98%E -4.54%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-13 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.38%E -4.12%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -4.57%E -2.89%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76%EV -13.67%E -6.27%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.24%EV -9.40%E -6.27%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-13 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-13 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-13 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-10-13 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.46% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.14% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40% | 12.6% | 2026-10-13 14:35 |