The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid

2026-10-13 18:30 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)

Prediction 37.86%2.64fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%38.00%37.86%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.492.5746.51%40.85%40.24%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Madrid (Visit)

Prediction 62.14%1.61fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.22%62.00%62.14%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.511.5470.42%66.31%66.23%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 37.86%; Real Madrid (Visit): 62.14%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.57, with an expected value of -2.71%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -4.30%E -2.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 08:05
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 08:10
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.36%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.30%E -2.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 07:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.14%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 07:54
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.50%E -2.63%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 07:49
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 07:49
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 07:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.78%EV -18.61%E -8.66%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.22%EV -11.75%E -8.28%K -27.99%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-05 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 09:10