The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v Dubai Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC

Final: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano 97–101 Dubai Basketball

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)

Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%46.66%46.63%48.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.002.2054.05%49.84%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dubai Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 53.36%1.87fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%53.34%53.37%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.771.781.8460.24%56.39%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 46.64%; Dubai Basketball (Visit): 53.36%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +2.61%E +1.19%K +2.17%G +0.057%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.82%E -5.81%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 17:44
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +0.276%E +0.128%K +0.240%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.59%E -0.753%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-15 17:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.06%E -0.979%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.979%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.89%E -6.52%K -16.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-15 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:15
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.75%E -5.12%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:25
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:15
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.32%E -2.62%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 18:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 14:39
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 14:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:15
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.44%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.61%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -1.82%E -0.988%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.61%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -1.82%E -0.988%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.65%E -3.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.65%E -3.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.65%E -3.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.65%E -3.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.65%E -3.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 14:34
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 15:35
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 18:20
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.95%E -2.20%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.44%K -10.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 16:25
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -10.92%E -5.72%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -5.55%E -3.14%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-15 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -11.42%E -6.88%K -17.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-15 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03%EV -13.72%E -7.41%K -16.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97%EV -8.75%E -5.12%K -12.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-15 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-10-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-10-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-10-15 18:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-10-15 18:25
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%4.4%2026-10-15 18:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%12.3%2026-10-15 16:25