Language:English
Olympiacos v Saski Baskonia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiacos (Local)
Prediction 87.53%1.14fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -25.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%87.69%87.41%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1194.34%92.65%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saski Baskonia (Visit)
Prediction 12.47%8.02fair odd
EV +32.13%
Edge +3.03%
Kelly +3.35%
Growth +1.08%
assuming max odds 10.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%12.31%12.59%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.758.0010.6015.38%12.91%12.50%9.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiacos (Local): 87.53%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 12.47%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.02. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.13%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +32.13%E +3.03%K +3.35%G +1.08% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +18.42%E +1.94%K +2.17%G +0.399% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.19%E +1.35%K +1.52%G +0.186% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.96%E +0.701%K +0.794%G +0.047% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.96%E +0.701%K +0.794%G +0.047% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.96%E +0.701%K +0.794%G +0.047% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.96%E +0.701%K +0.794%G +0.047% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.96%E +0.701%K +0.794%G +0.047% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +3.46%E +0.417%K +0.474%G +0.016% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +3.46%E +0.417%K +0.474%G +0.016% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.276%E -0.035%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.51%E -0.868%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -2.84%E -2.56%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -7.76%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.63%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.25%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -2.84%E -2.56%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -11.50%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.01%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.99%EV -11.50%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.84%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.16%EV -11.99%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.84%E -2.56%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.84%E -2.56%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 15:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.71%E -3.37%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.46%E -5.06%K -68.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.34%E -5.92%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.21%E -6.81%K -120.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.74%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.71%E -3.37%K -37.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.97%E -2.92%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.97%E -2.92%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.59%E -4.21%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.97%E -2.92%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |