默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiacos v Fenerbahce SK

开赛时间： 2026-03-17 19:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

68%

32%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiacos (主队)

预测 67.57%1.48公平赔率

EV +1.36%

优势 +0.908%

Kelly +2.72%

增长率 +0.037%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布

63.41%67.39%67.63%69.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.411.401.5073.53%71.16%71.43%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fenerbahce SK (客队)

预测 32.43%3.08公平赔率

EV +3.11%

优势 +0.979%

Kelly +1.43%

增长率 +0.044%

假设最高赔率为 3.18

博彩公司预测分布

30.26%32.61%32.37%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.602.892.883.1838.46%34.58%34.72%31.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Olympiacos (主队)：67.57%；Fenerbahce SK (客队)：32.43%。对于“Fenerbahce SK (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.08。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.18，对应+3.11%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +3.11%E +0.979%K +1.43%G +0.044%	3.9%	2026-03-17 19:05
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.518%E +0.167%K +0.247%G +0.001%	4.7%	2026-03-17 18:59
Everygame🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.518%E +0.167%K +0.247%G +0.001%	5.8%	2026-03-17 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.75%E -0.578%K -0.863%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.75%E -0.578%K -0.863%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 08:34
DraftKings🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-17 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 18:59
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 19:05
SportsBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 19:05
Betsson🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 19:05
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 19:00
GTbets🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 19:10
ReBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-17 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-17 19:05
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-17 08:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-17 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-17 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-17 08:35
1xBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.02%E -1.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-17 11:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 18:35
Coolbet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 18:35
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-17 19:05
BetUS🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-17 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-17 19:10
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-17 19:00
Neds🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-17 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.91%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%	2.79I 35.84%NM 33.09%EV -9.53%E -3.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-17 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-17 19:00
TABtouch🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-17 19:00
TAB🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-17 18:05
PlayUp🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-17 17:15
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.908%K +2.72%G +0.037%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.69%E -6.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-16 07:19

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-03-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-03-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%	1.2%	2026-03-17 19:10
Smarkets◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%	3.8%	2026-03-17 19:10
Matchbook◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%	3.8%	2026-03-17 19:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%	12.5%	2026-03-17 19:00