La scuola delle quote

Olympiacos v Fenerbahce SK

Inizio: 2026-03-17 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olympiacos (Casa)

Previsione 67.57%1.48quota equa
EV +1.36%
Vantaggio +0.908%
Kelly +2.72%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.41%67.39%67.63%69.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.411.401.5073.53%71.16%71.43%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.43%3.08quota equa
EV +3.11%
Vantaggio +0.979%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.26%32.61%32.37%36.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.892.883.1838.46%34.58%34.72%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +3.11%E +0.979%K +1.43%G +0.044%3.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.518%E +0.167%K +0.247%G +0.001%4.7%2026-03-17 18:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.518%E +0.167%K +0.247%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-17 18:54
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.75%E -0.578%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.75%E -0.578%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 08:34
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 18:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:05
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:00
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:10
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 08:00
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 08:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 08:35
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.02%E -1.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 11:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 18:35
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 18:35
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.40%E -3.85%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 18:10
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 19:00
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 66.91%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.09%EV -9.53%E -3.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.36%E +0.908%K +2.72%G +0.037%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.69%E -6.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 07:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-17 19:10
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-17 19:10
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-03-17 19:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.5%2026-03-17 19:00