The School of Odds
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Olympiacos v Anadolu Efes

Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:15 UTC

Final: Olympiacos 89–66 Anadolu Efes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Olympiacos (Local)

Prediction 80.94%1.24fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -14.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.16%81.01%81.04%82.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.171.2090.09%86.04%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.56%18.99%18.96%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.925.005.4026.67%20.34%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiacos (Local): 80.94%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 19.06%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.92%E -6.01%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +2.91%E +0.539%K +0.661%G +0.019%5.5%2026-10-05 10:00
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.11%E -5.26%K -38.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.051%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:20
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -4.49%E -3.80%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV -0.139%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.902%E -0.173%K -0.215%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.81%E -0.550%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.80%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 07:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 09:59
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 08:30
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 11:18
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.943%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 11:20
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -4.49%E -3.80%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -3.68%E -3.09%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -7.57%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.87%E -2.39%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -8.52%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 08:30
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.11%E -5.26%K -38.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.52%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.43%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.26%K -38.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.43%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 08:30
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.49%E -3.80%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.16%EV -10.15%E -9.15%K -92.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -28.53%E -7.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-05 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 55.37%1.34I 74.63%NM 44.63%67.2%2026-10-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 55.37%1.34I 74.63%NM 44.63%67.2%2026-10-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 55.37%1.34I 74.63%NM 44.63%67.2%2026-10-04 11:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.72%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%10.5%2026-10-05 13:15