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Maccabi Tel Aviv v Real Madrid

2026-10-22 18:05 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 32.48%3.08fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%32.51%32.56%35.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.852.902.9640.82%35.09%34.48%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Madrid (Visit)

Prediction 67.52%1.48fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.99%67.49%67.44%68.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.401.4675.76%71.87%71.68%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 32.48%; Real Madrid (Visit): 67.52%. For Real Madrid (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.46, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.80%E -3.40%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 07:10
SportsBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -4.83%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.50%E -5.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 07:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.48%E -3.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 02:24
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.48%E -3.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 02:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.48%E -3.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 02:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.48%E -3.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 02:25
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.80%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 07:05
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.45%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.18%E -6.01%K -22.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 07:09
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.42%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:09
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -7.75%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -1.42%E -0.976%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 02:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.05%E -3.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.15%E -4.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 07:09
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.37%E -3.36%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.75%EV -6.15%E -4.43%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 07:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -20.42%E -8.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 64.99%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -33.99%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-15 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-15 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-15 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-15 03:35