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Maccabi Tel Aviv v Paris Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 19:05 UTC

Final: Maccabi Tel Aviv 94–99 Paris Basketball

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 61.26%1.63fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.32%61.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.551.5868.97%64.82%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 38.74%2.58fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.68%38.77%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.412.5545.45%41.37%41.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 61.26%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 38.74%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.21%E -2.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-29 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.21%E -2.03%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-29 12:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-29 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-29 19:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-29 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.03%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.03%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 12:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.97%E -3.82%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.97%E -3.82%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 12:09
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.22%E -0.478%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-29 17:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-29 12:09
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 19:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.97%E -3.82%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 12:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -1.99%E -0.788%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-29 17:39
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 12:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 19:00
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.03%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -9.35%E -4.00%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-29 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 19:00
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.19%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.19%E -3.46%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.97%E -3.82%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-29 19:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 17:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.33%E -6.31%K -19.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -13.61%E -6.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.17%E -7.70%K -24.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -14.78%E -6.72%K -12.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-29 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-10-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-10-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-10-29 18:55
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-10-29 19:00
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-10-29 19:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%12.0%2026-10-29 17:24

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