Language:English
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -0.983%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.744%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%42.63%42.64%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3247.62%44.95%44.84%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.37%57.36%58.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.7162.11%60.73%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 42.68%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 57.32%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.983%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.983%E -0.424%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.84%E -0.798%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.84%E -0.798%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-24 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.00%E -3.66%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 12:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -8.66%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-24 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-23 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-03-24 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-03-24 17:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.3% | 2026-03-23 14:44 |