Language:English
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Beşiktaş J.K.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 65.99%1.52fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.43%66.12%65.95%68.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.4772.46%69.71%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit)
Prediction 34.01%2.94fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.32%33.88%34.05%35.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.753.0740.00%36.39%36.36%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Local): 65.99%; Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit): 34.01%. For Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +4.40%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.093% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.07%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.07%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 15:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -9.21%E -3.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-30 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.31%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-30 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.61%E -5.43%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -14.99%E -5.99%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.68% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.32% | 9.5% | 2026-09-30 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 56.31% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 43.69% | 25.1% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 56.31% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 43.69% | 25.1% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 56.83% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 43.17% | 26.6% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-09-30 15:04 |