Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Partizan NIS v Saski Baskonia

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 18:30 UTC

Final: KK Partizan NIS 91–79 Saski Baskonia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Partizan NIS (Local)

Prediction 65.68%1.52fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -7.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%65.79%65.63%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.66%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saski Baskonia (Visit)

Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.21%34.37%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.9238.17%36.32%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Partizan NIS (Local): 65.68%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 34.32%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.201%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.201%E +0.069%K +0.105%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.201%E +0.069%K +0.105%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.485%E -0.167%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 18:15
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.485%E -0.167%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 12:19
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.485%E -0.167%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -0.829%E -0.287%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 18:15
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -1.17%E -0.407%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.772%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.20%E -0.772%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 06:49
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -3.23%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 17:50
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 10:00
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 10:00
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 13:13
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 06:37
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 00:59
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:10
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 06:34
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:40
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.20%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.80%EV -8.72%E -3.28%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 17:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.75%E -3.71%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-15 11:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.75%E -3.71%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-15 11:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 11:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-04-16 18:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-04-16 18:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%3.0%2026-04-16 18:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%11.6%2026-04-16 17:40