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KK Crvena zvezda v Paris Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC

Final: KK Crvena zvezda 90–81 Paris Basketball

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Crvena zvezda (Local)

Prediction 72.69%1.38fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -7.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.00%72.57%72.69%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3481.97%76.81%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.642%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.43%27.31%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.423.503.6032.47%29.22%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 72.69%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 27.31%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.60%E -1.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.95%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.60%E -1.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.95%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 15:15
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.33%E -2.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.85%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-16 15:59
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.76%E -0.776%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 15:54
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 15:09
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%EV -15.87%E -5.15%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 17:40
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 17:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 15:59
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 15:10
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.78%E -3.65%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 17:55
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 17:29
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.51%E -4.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 17:50
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 17:30
picklebet_au🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.24%E -4.83%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.96%E -5.44%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 15:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.96%E -5.44%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-16 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%EV -11.32%E -9.28%K -51.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-16 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-16 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-16 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-16 17:45
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-10-16 17:45
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-10-16 17:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94%12.2%2026-10-16 15:10