Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Crvena zvezda v Paris Basketball

2026-10-16 18:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Crvena zvezda (Local)

Prediction 73.95%1.35fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -12.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.91%73.87%74.00%75.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.271.3082.64%78.79%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +0.799%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%26.13%26.00%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.573.603.9633.90%28.01%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 73.95%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 26.05%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.96, producing a positive expected value of +3.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -6.09%E -4.79%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +3.16%E +0.799%K +1.07%G +0.034%4.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.87%E -2.97%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.87%E -2.97%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.09%E -4.79%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.61%E -3.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.61%E -3.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 13:59
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -5.35%E -4.18%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -9.34%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.09%E -4.79%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 70.91%EV -10.52%E -8.70%K -50.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -23.15%E -7.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 55.32%1.30I 76.92%NM 44.68%72.2%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 43.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 56.09%76.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 43.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 56.09%76.5%2026-10-10 14:00