The School of Odds
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KK Crvena zvezda v Maccabi Tel Aviv

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:00 UTC

Final: KK Crvena zvezda 100–78 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KK Crvena zvezda (Local)

Prediction 67.36%1.48fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.75%67.33%67.40%68.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4575.76%71.31%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)

Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV -0.460%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.224%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.67%32.60%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.862.903.0539.22%34.95%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 67.36%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 32.64%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.460%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -16.78%E -6.58%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 22:05
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -16.78%E -6.58%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 22:05
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -3.00%E -2.08%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -4.70%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.67%E -2.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.67%E -2.57%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.09%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 18:55
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -7.64%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 10:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 07:10
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.460%E -0.151%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:45
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.02%E -3.56%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 18:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.09%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 07:10
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.09%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 12:59
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 06:55
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 06:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 14:01
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:05
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.99%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 06:55
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 13:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -14.49%E -5.53%K -8.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.04%E -5.10%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -7.04%E -5.10%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -7.97%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 18:36
picklebet_au🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.04%E -5.10%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.04%E -5.10%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 18:36
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.71%E -5.63%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -1.44%E -0.476%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -7.71%E -5.63%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-27 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.39%E -6.17%K -23.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.08%E -8.39%K -34.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.89%EV -11.08%E -8.39%K -34.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -16.78%E -6.58%K -10.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-27 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-10-27 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-10-27 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-10-27 18:45
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-10-27 18:45
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%3.5%2026-10-27 18:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%11.0%2026-10-26 22:05

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