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KK Crvena zvezda v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prediction 56.38%1.77fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.40%56.38%57.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.671.671.7160.98%59.71%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV -0.555%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%43.60%43.62%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.172.182.2847.85%46.05%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 56.38%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 43.62%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.555%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.58%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.61%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-28 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-28 14:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.66%E -3.11%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.991%E -0.437%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.991%E -0.437%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.555%E -0.243%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.41%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -8.84%E -4.23%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.40%E -3.86%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.40%E -3.86%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-28 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 11:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-28 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.66%E -3.11%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.53%E -3.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.53%E -3.55%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 52.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 47.57% | 50.2% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 52.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 47.57% | 50.2% | 2026-09-29 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.3% | 2026-09-28 11:10 |