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KK Crvena zvezda v Anadolu Efes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prediction 57.51%1.74fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.53%57.59%58.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.641.641.7066.23%61.11%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anadolu Efes (Visit)
Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -0.155%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.14%42.47%42.41%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.242.3546.51%44.86%44.74%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 57.51%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 42.49%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.354. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.350, with an expected value of -0.155%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.25%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 17:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.25%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.155%E -0.066%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.155%E -0.066%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.28%E -0.991%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.86%EV -13.16%E -8.71%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-01 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08% | 12.4% | 2026-10-01 07:34 |