Lingua:Italiano
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Real Madrid
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa)
Previsione 51.15%1.96quota equa
EV -0.262%
Vantaggio -0.134%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.95%51.06%51.07%52.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.851.9555.56%53.62%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Real Madrid (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.85%2.05quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%48.94%48.93%51.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.921.922.0055.56%52.14%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa): 51.15%; Real Madrid (Trasferta): 48.85%. Per Hapoel Tel Aviv (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.96. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.95, con un valore atteso del -0.262%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.262%E -0.134%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.65%E -4.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.773%E -0.399%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.773%E -0.399%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.28%E -0.666%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.28%E -0.666%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.28%E -0.666%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.28%E -0.666%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.28%E -0.666%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -8.65%E -4.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.25%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.60%E -5.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.69%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.69%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.78%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.78%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.27%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.07%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.07%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.07%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.78%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.78%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 14:47 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 14:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |