Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Paris Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

75%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 74.86%1.34fair odd

EV -1.93%

Edge -1.47%

Kelly -6.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.11%74.90%74.78%76.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.261.261.3183.33%79.30%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd

EV +0.550%

Edge +0.137%

Kelly +0.183%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.95%25.10%25.22%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.643.674.0033.33%27.48%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 74.86%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 25.14%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.550%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 50.00%EV +461.47%E +61.53%K +71.00%G +327.62%	7.50I 13.33%NM 50.00%EV +88.53%E +11.80%K +13.62%G +12.06%	-73.3%	2026-03-01 09:18
William Hill🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.550%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-02-23 21:44
1xBet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -0.456%E -0.115%K -0.154%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-24 10:19
Coolbet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.504%K -0.677%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-24 10:22
FanDuel🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.96%E -0.504%K -0.677%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-23 21:40
NordicBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-28 17:14
Betway🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-01 07:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-23 21:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.88%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-24 17:10
Fanatics🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-23 21:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-23 21:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-26 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.76%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-23 21:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.69%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-02-23 21:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -15.79%E -4.71%K -6.72%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-02-25 01:20
GTbets🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.23%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -16.04%E -4.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-01 07:59
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.93%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -19.56%E -6.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-01 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 71.43%EV -10.16%E -8.47%K -50.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -24.59%E -8.20%K -12.29%G +0.000%	16.7%	2026-02-23 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 50.58%	1.30I 76.92%NM 49.42%	55.7%	2026-03-01 09:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 50.58%	1.30I 76.92%NM 49.42%	55.7%	2026-03-01 09:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 50.58%	1.30I 76.92%NM 49.42%	55.7%	2026-03-01 09:24