Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 70.06%1.43fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.37%70.00%70.24%72.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.03%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.115%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.42%30.00%29.76%32.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.893.113.053.5234.60%32.11%32.73%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 70.06%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 29.94%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV +5.39%E +1.53%K +2.14%G +0.115%3.6%2026-02-26 19:04
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.79%E +0.528%K +0.748%G +0.013%4.6%2026-02-26 18:59
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.79%E +0.528%K +0.748%G +0.013%6.3%2026-02-26 19:01
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -0.601%E -0.181%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:05
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.20%E -0.364%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.20%E -0.364%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.70%E -0.830%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.70%E -0.830%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.70%E -0.830%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.22%E -6.28%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.70%E -0.830%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.00%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 19:04
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:03
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:03
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 19:04
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -2.62%E -1.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -5.09%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:05
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -8.39%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:05
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.32%E -2.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:05
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:05
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.32%E -2.40%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -10.32%E -8.06%K -36.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -1.92%E -1.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -13.47%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-02-26 19:05
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-02-26 19:05
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-02-26 19:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-02-26 19:05