Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Beşiktaş J.K.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 71.44%1.40fair odd
EV +0.016%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.040%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%71.20%71.43%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.4079.37%75.16%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit)
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -0.040%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.016%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.80%28.57%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.243.253.5037.04%30.90%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 71.44%; Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit): 28.56%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.3998. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.4000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.016%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.016%E +0.011%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -15.75%E -5.34%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV +0.016%E +0.011%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -22.89%E -8.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-14 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV +0.016%E +0.011%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -22.89%E -8.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -5.18%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.84%E -2.09%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.03%E -7.15%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.56%E -2.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.56%E -2.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.56%E -2.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.56%E -2.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.56%E -2.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.75%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -4.27%E -3.19%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -14.61%E -4.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -0.325%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.47%E -0.425%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.47%E -0.425%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.47%E -0.425%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.98%E -3.75%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.70%E -4.32%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 15:12 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.70%E -4.32%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.70%E -4.32%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.70%E -4.32%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.41%E -4.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 13:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -6.41%E -4.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.85%EV -7.75%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.13%E -5.48%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.13%E -5.48%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.13%E -5.48%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.13%E -5.48%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 11:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -7.47%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-14 15:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-14 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%EV -9.99%E -7.93%K -38.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-14 15:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-14 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-10-14 15:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 15:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-10-14 15:49 |